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Are 1-ounce gold bars still a good investment with inflation falling?
When the latest inflation report was released this week, it offered good news for many Americans. After ticking back up unexpectedly in early 2024, inflation cooled again in June, falling to 3.0%, a drop of about 0.1% from the month prior. This is the third consecutive month-over-month drop and the fastest inflation has fallen since June 2023. And, with each drop in inflation, the rate inches closer to the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, meaning that the likelihood of future Fed rate cuts also increases.
But even if the Fed keeps rates steady at its next meeting, the drop in inflation will likely have a positive impact on a few areas of the economy, including the cost of essential goods like groceries and housing. It’s also a positive development for borrowers, as the Fed has for the last year kept interest rates locked at a two-decade high in an effort to curb inflation. With inflation easing, there could soon be a drop in interest rates, which would provide some much-needed relief for those who need to borrow money.
While declining inflation may be a bright spot in many ways, it could also impact certain types of investments, including gold. Gold investing has had allure for investors over the past year, due in large part to inflationary concerns and economic uncertainties. Now that inflation is on the decline, though, are gold investments — and 1-ounce gold bars in particular — still a good option?
Learn more about how the right gold investment could pay off here.
Are 1-ounce gold bars still a good investment with inflation falling?
The short answer is yes, 1-ounce gold bars could still be a good investment for the right investors, even with inflation falling. That’s because while gold tends to shine during periods of high inflation, its appeal as an investment vehicle extends well beyond its role in that capacity.
For starters, gold is an excellent tool for portfolio diversification — and a diversified portfolio is important even with inflation easing. A well-diversified portfolio is built to weather any type of financial issue and gold’s value tends to move independently of stocks and bonds, so by adding gold to your portfolio, you gain protection against losses from traditional investments due to market volatility.
And, while short-term price fluctuations can occur, gold has historically maintained its value over long periods, making it a reliable store of wealth. So, by investing in gold now, you’re likely to see the value of your gold remain stable and increase over the long term. Gold can also serve as a hedge against currency devaluation, which can remain a concern even as inflation falls.
Plus, global economic challenges are still a real issue in today’s economic environment, despite today’s improving inflation figures — making gold, and, in turn, 1-ounce gold bars, a smart bet. After all, geopolitical tensions and economic challenges that occur in other parts of the world may help to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset, so putting some money into this type of gold bar could pay off, even if inflation continues to improve.
And, there are other reasons to consider investing in this type of gold bar, including:
- Ongoing inflation protection: While inflation has been falling, it’s important to remember that economic conditions can change — and you’ll need access to an asset that can protect your wealth when they do. And, since gold is an inflation hedge, it can serve as long-term protection against future inflationary pressures that arise.
- Liquidity: Another big benefit to investing in this type of gold is that 1-ounce gold bars are highly liquid and easily traded.
- Reduced counterparty risk: Unlike many financial assets, physical gold doesn’t rely on any counterparty’s promise or performance, reducing certain types of risk.
Compare the gold investing options available to you online now.
Potential downsides of investing in 1-ounce gold bars
But while 1-ounce gold bars could still be a good investment for the right person, it’s important to also consider the potential drawbacks, including:
- Cost of storage and insurance: Physical gold requires secure storage and insurance, which can add to the overall cost of the investment.
- Lack of passive income: Unlike stocks that may pay dividends or bonds that provide interest, gold doesn’t generate passive income.
- Price volatility: While gold is often seen as a stable asset, its price can still be volatile in the short term.
The bottom line
While falling inflation may change the investment landscape, 1-ounce gold bars can still be a good investment. Their role as a diversifier, store of value and hedge against various economic risks remains relevant, even during times of lower inflation. As with any investment, though, it’s crucial to do thorough research, weigh your options, consider the potential downsides and determine what assets fit best in your strategy. That way, you can ensure that you’re building a well-balanced portfolio that can withstand various economic conditions.
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Here’s how far HELOC interest rates have dropped this year
After more than four years in which interest rates were hiked numerous times, the Federal Reserve started cutting interest rates in September, starting with a larger-than-expected 50 basis point cut. But that was just the beginning, with the Fed continuing to cut rates this week with a 25 basis point reduction. And another cut in the same increment is widely expected when the Fed meets again in December. While these cuts have brought new borrowers into the fold, they underline something that home equity borrowers may have already noticed: Interest rates have been on the decline all year.
This has been particularly noticeable for those who have tapped into their home equity via a home equity line of credit (HELOC). These products have variable interest rates, which can be problematic when interest rates are rising, as they were in 2022 and 2023, but advantageous now that the wider rate climate is cooling again. So how far, precisely, have HELOC interest rates dropped this year? And how much further could they fall? That’s what we’ll break down below.
See how low of a HELOC interest rate you could qualify for here.
Here’s how far HELOC interest rates have dropped this year
HELOC interest rates are traditionally lower than what’s available with credit cards and personal loans, thanks to the home in question serving as critical collateral. But they didn’t start 2024 in a particularly attractive position, coming in at 10.16% on January 3, 2024, according to historical data from Bankrate.
Since that point, however, they’ve dropped significantly, albeit in a bumpy manner. By January 10, 2024, they were averaging 9.32% and by February 7 they were at 9.12%. Rates dropped just below 9% in March but spiked again in May to 9.89% as the battle against inflation appeared more problematic than many had anticipated. As inflation cooled in the following months, however, HELOC rates did, too. They spiked back up to just under 10% in early September but have since dropped significantly with two Fed rate cuts issued.
Now, the average HELOC rate is just 8.70% – almost a point and a half lower than what it was in January. And if inflation continues to drop (the October reading is due out on November 13), HELOC rates will likely continue to fall. And if the Fed issues a final 2024 rate cut in December, as they almost certainly will, rates will likely end the year close to two points lower than where they started it.
That noted, predicting future interest rate changes with precision is almost an impossibility. If you know you need the financing then, and are comfortable with today’s current rates, it makes sense to apply for a HELOC now.
Get started with a HELOC online today.
Why a HELOC may be better than a home equity loan now
Right now, home equity loans actually have a slightly lower rate when compared to HELOCs (8.41% versus the HELOC’s 8.70%). But HELOCs, thanks to that variable interest rate, are better positioned to take advantage of today’s cooling rate environment. Home equity loan rates are fixed, meaning that borrowers will need to refinance them (and pay 1% to 5% of the loan amount in closing costs) to get that lower rate.
Understanding this dynamic, then, and the real potential for rates to continue to decline into 2025, borrowers may want to take a calculated risk by opening a HELOC instead of a home equity loan. It won’t be the right approach for everyone, but if you want to be best positioned to capitalize on what could be multiple rate cuts to come, a HELOC offers you the more optimal way to do so.
The bottom line
HELOC interest rates have plunged by around one and a half percentage points so far this year and many experts predict that they will fall even further in December and into 2025. So, if you want to borrow from your home equity but also want to be able to exploit today’s evolving rate climate, a HELOC may be the preferred option. Just avoid the temptation to overborrow, as well, since your home functions as collateral here and you could jeopardize your ownership if you’re unable to pay back the full line of credit.
Have more HELOC questions? Learn more here now.
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