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Inflation is cooling but the majority of Americans say they haven’t noticed
Inflation may be cooling but not all households are breathing a sigh.
The soaring inflation that has crippled household budgets over the past few years has technically receded, but working Americans say they are not feeling any financial relief because their paychecks haven’t kept pace.
About 60% of working Americans say their income has lagged inflation has over the past 12 months, according to a new Bankrate survey. That’s up from 55% last year. Even among workers who did get a raise from their employer or found a job with a higher salary, 53% reported that their increase in earnings was less than the on-average 3% inflation hike the U.S. has experienced in 2023. That’s up from 50% last year.
“A gap exists and that’s what I think workers are telling us,” Bankrate Analyst Sarah Foster told CBS MoneyWatch. “Their incomes have come up and they are reaping the benefits of the job market, but prices have gone up even more so they’re still playing this game of catch up,” she said.
U.S. consumers continue to spend
Still, despite paychecks not keeping pace, Americans have kept the economy humming by spending what dollars they do have.
“Consumers are looking past inflation,” Foster said. “It’s not that they’re OK with it, but they’re continuing to spend.”
Americans have been able to stay afloat in part because of a robust job market and wage increases that are stronger now than they’ve been in recent history, economists said. But Bankrate’s survey suggests that the wave of worker raises aren’t having their intended impact, particularly for low-income earners who make less than $50,000 a year.
Americans started feeling the impact of inflation in the first quarter of 2021 as the Federal Reserve began trying to cool off the economy after years of lockdown from the pandemic. Starting from 2021 to today, the price of everyday consumer items has risen 16.7% while wage growth has been roughly 12.8%, Foster said.
Foster’s breakdown lines up with the latest government data on how much worker wages have grown once inflation is factored in.
The typical hourly worker made $10.96 in real earnings in October 2022, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. That wage grew only 0.8% a year later to $11.05 in October 2023. Meanwhile, inflation rose 3.2% during that same period.
To be clear, today’s inflation is relatively tame compared to what it was a year ago — when the rate reached its highest point in 40 years at 9.1% in June 2022. Some economists predict inflation will fall even further next year, perhaps down to 2.4%.
“The inflation fever that has gripped the U.S. economy since early 2021 appears to be breaking,” Kevin Kliesen, a business economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, said Tuesday. “The U.S. economy is entering the fourth quarter of 2023 with solid momentum and a healthy labor market.”
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Harris to release medical records as campaign looks to pressure Trump to do the same
Vice President Kamala Harris is expected to release her medical history and records Saturday, as her campaign is now planning to put pressure on former President Donald Trump to release his own.
The report will say the 59-year-old Harris has the physical and mental resiliency to serve as president, according to a senior Harris aide.
It is unknown yet how detailed Harris’ records will be, but her campaign views the release as an opportunity to turn the conversation towards the physical health and mental acuity of her opponent, the 78-year-old Trump. Harris’ advisers argue they can contrast her age and Trump’s — daring him to disclose more recent information.
Harris did not release her medical records during the 2020 campaign. In November 2023, Trump posted a letter from his doctor of osteopathic medicine, Bruce Aronwald, that said he had been examined in September 2023 and that his “overall health is excellent.” No specifics on his vitals or medications were shared.
In an interview with CBS News in August, Trump said he would “gladly” release his medical records and that he recently had a medical exam and had a “perfect score.”
If elected in November, Trump would be the oldest president in U.S. history by the end of his term.
The Harris campaign’s attempt to highlight Trump’s age mirrors the Republican campaign’s approach to President Biden while he was the candidate. When Biden was still running, Trump’s campaign would often post clips of him stumbling up the stairs of Air Force One, or of his verbal gaffes.
Biden left the 2024 race in July after Democratic infighting and skepticism he could serve a full second term, which was spurred by a June debate performance where he appeared to show signs of his age, 81, by speaking with a hoarse voice and stumbling through answers.
On social media, Harris’ campaign has been leaning into references to Trump’s age, pointing out moments where Trump slurs his words or meanders.
“Americans are tired of your lies and slur-filled delusions. It’s getting…old,” the Kamala HQ X account posted in August.
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Remains found on Mount Everest could help solve 100-year-old mystery
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