CBS News
4 March Madness upset pick predictions for 2024, according to NCAA experts
Justin Tafoya/NCAA Photos via Getty Images
Brackets are set and the First Four are lined up and ready to play. March Madness 2024 is on, which means the next few weeks of college basketball will feature Cinderella stories, career-defining moments and some major upsets. As much fun as it is to watch the big dogs take their rightful place on top of the leaderboard, it’s even more exciting to watch an underrated team trounce a top seed for a win.
We’re here for all the drama NCAA March Madness has to offer this year. The experts at SportsLine weighed in with their predictions for the biggest upsets of March Madness 2024. Keep reading for all the tea, and everything you need to know to watch the best games and the biggest potential upsets of the tournament.
Note: CBS Essentials, CBS, Paramount+ and Sportsline are all subsidiaries of Paramount. CBS is one of the broadcast homes of the 2024 men’s March Madness tournament.
What upsets do experts predict for March Madness 2024?
Want to find a few interesting upset ideas to help you fill out your March Madness bracket? The experts at SportsLine shared their picks with us for potential March Madness 2024 upsets.
Bruce Marshall‘s upset pick: NC State
“Except in passing, the pundits on Sunday night hardly even mentioned NC State as a team to watch in the Big Dance. Granted, replicating last week’s adrenaline rush in D.C., and winning five games in five days to steal the ACC Tourney, is a hard act to top. Still, Tobacco Road sources have warned all season to keep an eye on the Wolfpack, and we much like the fact that, unlike many entries in the Dance, NC State doesn’t live and die beyond the arc. That’s mostly due to the presence of punishing 6’9”, 275-pound D.J. Burns, who gets touches in most halfcourt sets, and who became option number one in overtime against Virginia in the semifinals last Friday.
“Note that NCS only attempted a very modest 17 triples last week in D.C., though Kevin Keatts has some real firepower on the perimeter, led by ASU transfer and his “other D.J.” (Horne, 16.9 ppg). Those of us old enough to remember 1983 also had to notice last week’s run that reminded us of Jim Valvano’s Cinderella ’83 Wolfpack, especially the semifinal win over the Cavs, who left the door ajar by faltering late at the free-throw line. Sounds familiar? Magic and NC State in March just kind of go together!”
Eric Cohen‘s upset pick: Kansas
“The Jayhawks stumbled down the stretch, losing four of their last five games with injuries to guard Kevin McCullar, Jr. and center Hunter Dickinson, the team’s two leading scorers. When healthy, this team is elite and possesses the inside-outside combination necessary to succeed. In the Midwest Region, they would be positioned for a Sweet 16 matchup against a Purdue team that, while elite in the regular season, has a history of exiting the NCAA Tournament earlier than expected. This pick all comes down to health, but if Kansas can get back to 100 percent, they will be a danger in the coming weeks.”
Thomas Casale‘s upset pick: Florida
“I love the Gators in a one-and-done tournament setting. Florida is one of the top offensive rebounding teams in the country and its guards do a great job of creating shots off the dribble. Walter Clayton, Zyon Pullin and Will Richard combine to score 44.4 points per game and will be a matchup problem for a lot of teams in the tournament.
“The Gators have also played in a lot of close games this season. Fourteen of Florida’s games have been decided by six points or fewer, so they know what it’s like to be in a war that goes down to the final minute. I think that will serve them well in a tough region like the South.
“Florida does have a couple of warts. The biggest one is the Gators rank 83rd in defensive efficiency on KenPom. Florida will need to outscore teams similar to other SEC teams like Alabama and Kentucky. The Gators also suffered a setback in the SEC Championship when 7-1 center Micah Handlogten suffered a bad leg injury. While he’ll be missed, Florida has depth on the frontline.
“Florida would have a tough second-round matchup with Marquette but get by them, and the Gators could see SEC rival Kentucky. The teams split this season with the two games being decided by five points. I think there is enough upside with the Gators to take a shot on them at longer odds.”
Bob Konarski‘s upset pick: St. Mary’s
“St. Mary’s has a scary matchup in the first round as the 5th seed taking on the 12th seeded Antelopes. Grand Canyon is already a very public side considering that everyone will want to take a 12th seed to the 5th. However, the Gaels are 16th in the nation in defensive efficiency and have been holding their opponents to an average of 59.7 points per game this season. They’re also one of the best rebounding teams in the country. Grand Canyon had had a dominant season and plays a very up-tempo style, but they have not played this caliber of defense since December 5th, when they beat the Aztecs at home. If St. Mary’s can prevail in the first round, their defense is as good as any team in the country to make a run.
“Since their 3-5 start to the season, they’ve only lost twice in their last 25 games. Augustas Marciulionis had a rocky start to the season but has really stepped up his offensive game and Aidan Mahaney is the engine of this team who also found his shooting stroke during conference play.
“As long as St. Mary’s can get past the Antelopes, their defense has the ability to slow down a run-and-gun Alabama team, if they defeat the Cougars of Charleston then anything can happen. Even though they’re without forward Joshua Jefferson for the remainder of the season, the Gaels are a well-rounded team with a very good coach. They find the open man and play like a determined team with something to prove.”
What do experts base their March Madness upset picks on?
The experts at SportsLine have years of experience evaluating lines, teams, coaching styles, offensive trends, defensive trends and opponent tendencies. They assess the strength of each team’s regular season schedule, how each team fared during the season against common opponents and the team’s tournament history to bring you a full picture of each team’s potential in this year’s NCAA tournament.
How many upsets are there usually during March Madness?
The 2023 Final Four was the first in history without a top-three seed, proof March Madness brackets are completely unpredictable. That’s part of what makes the NCAA tournament so special. The annual average for upsets is about 8.5 per tournament, though there were only three upsets in the 2007 tournament and as many as 14 in 2021 and 2022.
Upsets are becoming more common during March Madness. There have been at least 10 upsets in nine of the past 12 years. There were 10 upsets in the 2023 NCAA tournament.
What are the biggest March Madness upsets from past tournaments?
You don’t have to look too far back in March Madness history to relive some of the biggest upsets of the tournament. In 2023, No. 16 seed Fairleigh Dickinson defeated No. 1 Purdue, 63-58.
In 2022, No. 15 Saint Peter’s defeated powerhouse No. 2 Kentucky (85-79) in a dazzling overtime showdown that marked just the 10th time a No. 15 beat a No. 2 seed. It was also the first-ever tournament for Saint Peter’s, a small, 3,500-person private college in Jersey City, New Jersey.
In 2021, No. 15 Oral Roberts sent No. 2 Ohio State home, beating the Buckeyes 75-72. Oral Roberts went on to beat No. 7 Florida in the second round, before getting eliminated in the Sweet 16.
When is March Madness 2024?
Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
- The men’s tournament will be played March 19, 2024 – April 8, 2024.
- The women’s tournament will be played March 20, 2024 – April 7, 2024.
How to watch March Madness 2024
Men’s March Madness 2024, including the Final Four, will air on CBS, TBS, TNT and truTV.
Women’s March Madness 2024, including the Final Four, will air on ABC, ESPN, and ESPN 2 and stream on ESPN+.
How to watch March Madness 2024 without cable
If you’ve given up your cable subscription, or your cable provider doesn’t include the channels carrying March Madness this year, you can subscribe to one of the streaming or live TV platforms featured below.
How to watch March Madness 2024: Paramount+ with Showtime
Getty Images
CBS will play host to some of this year’s men’s March Madness games, which means Paramount+ with Showtime subscribers can stream CBS-aired men’s March Madness games live.
The streamer offers access to all college basketball games locally and nationally televised on CBS on all its subscription tiers. In addition, you can watch top-tier soccer like the Champions League live and SEC college football games, plus popular shows such as “Survivor” and “NCIS.”
A subscription to Paramount+ with Showtime is $11.99 per month. The streamer offers a seven-day free trial. (You won’t be able to stream men’s March Madness live with a Paramount+ Essential subscription.)
Stream March Madness: Paramount + with Showtime free on Amazon Prime Video
Paramount+ content, including men’s March Madness 2024, is available to stream on Amazon Prime via a Paramount+ on Prime Video add-on subscription. Prime Video also carries some of the best sports documentaries, including “Kelce,” which chronicles former Philadelphia Eagles star Jason Kelce’s last season in the league.
Amazon is offering a seven-day free trial of Paramount+ with Showtime. Tap the button below to start your trial and start streaming now for free. After the free trial period ends, a subscription to the Paramount+ with Showtime tier is $11.99 per month.
Watch March Madness free with Fubo
If you’re new to streaming sports, you should know about Fubo. Fubo is a sports-centric streaming service that offers access to every March Madness game airing on network and cable TV, plus your local TV affiliates, hundreds of cable TV channels and 1,000 hours of cloud DVR storage. Another great reason to love Fubo is its lookback feature, which lets you watch sporting events up to 72 hours after they air live.
Start watching NCAA basketball on Fubo and also get access to network-aired NFL, NBA and MLB games by starting a seven-day free trial of Fubo. You can begin watching immediately on your TV, phone, tablet or computer. Fubo starts at $80/month for the Pro tier, which includes over 184 channels, but the streamer is currently offering the first month for $60.
What you’ll get with Fubo Pro Tier:
- There are no contracts with Fubo — you can cancel at any time.
- The Pro tier includes over 184 channels, including NFL Network.
- Fubo includes all the channels you’ll need to watch college and pro football, including CBS.
- In addition to NFL football, Fubo offers MLB, NBA, NHL, MLS and international soccer games.
- All Fubo tiers come with 1,000 hours of cloud-based DVR recording.
- Stream on your TV, phone and mobile devices.
Save $40 on Sling TV: The most cost-effective way to stream March Madness 2024
If you don’t have cable TV that includes TNT, TBS and ESPN, one of the most cost-effective ways to stream March Madness games this year is through a subscription to Sling TV. The streamer offers access to your local network affiliate’s live feed (excluding CBS) and also includes the NFL Network and ESPN with its Orange tier plan. Also worth noting: Sling TV comes with 50 hours of cloud-based DVR recording space included, perfect for recording all the season’s top NFL matchups.
That plan normally costs $40 per month, but the streamer is currently offering Sling Orange for $120 for four months when you prepay. That’s $30 per month, a saving of $40.
Note: Because men’s March Madness 2024 will broadcast on CBS, you won’t be able to watch all men’s March Madness 2024 with a Sling TV subscription. If you’re looking to stream the men’s tournament, we suggest a subscription to one of the other platforms featured here.
Top features of Sling TV Orange tier:
- There are 32 channels to watch in total, including ESPN, TNT and TBS. (where available).
- You get access to most local NFL games and nationally broadcast games next season at the lowest price.
- All subscription tiers include 50 hours of cloud-based DVR storage.
ESPN+: How to watch the women’s Final Four
ESPN+ is ESPN’s subscription streaming platform. It offers exclusive live events, original studio shows and top-tier series that aren’t accessible on the ESPN networks. To watch the women’s Final Four, simply sign into the ESPN app. You’ll watch college basketball at no extra charge. You can stream ESPN+ through the ESPN app on your favorite mobile device and ESPN.com. It’s also available as an app through major smart TV streaming platforms and gaming consoles such as the PS5.
Keep in mind some blackouts will prohibit you from watching certain in-market games with ESPN+, even if they’re nationally televised. If you’re looking to avoid those blackouts, we suggest subscribing to the Hulu + Live TV/ESPN+ bundle featured above.
It is important to note that ESPN+ does not include access to the ESPN network. It is a separate sports-centric service, with separate sports programming.
An ESPN+ subscription costs $10.99 per month, or save 15% when you pay annually ($110). ESPN+ is also currently offering a cost-saving bundle. Get ESPN+ (with ads), Disney+ (with ads) and Hulu (with ads) for $14.99 per month.
Hulu + Live TV/ESPN+ bundle: The one way to stream every March Madness game
You can watch March Madness 2024, including both the men’s and women’s tournaments, with the Hulu + Live TV/ESPN+ bundle. The bundle features 95 channels, including ESPN, ABC and CBS, and includes ESPN+, so you’ll be able to watch every game of both tournaments. The women’s Final Four will be broadcast live on ESPN+. Unlimited DVR storage is also included. Watch every March Madness game on every network this season with Hulu + Live TV/ESPN+ bundle.
Hulu + Live TV comes bundled with ESPN+ and Disney+. It’s priced at $77.
Watch March Madness live with a digital HDTV antenna
Amazon
You can also watch March Madness on TV with an affordable indoor antenna, which pulls in local over-the-air HDTV channels such as CBS, NBC, ABC, Fox, PBS, Univision and more. Here’s the kicker: There’s no monthly charge.
For anyone living in a partially blocked-off area (those near mountains or first-floor apartments), a digital TV antenna may not pick up a good signal — or any signal at all. But for many homes, a digital TV antenna provides a seriously inexpensive way to watch March Madness without paying a cable company. Indoor TV antennas can also provide some much-needed TV backup if a storm knocks out your cable.
This amplified digital antenna with a 250-mile range can receive hundreds of HDTV channels, including ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, Fox and Univision and can filter out cellular and FM signals. It delivers a high-quality picture in 1080p HDTV and top-tier sound. It comes with an 18-foot digital coax cable.
Key dates for the 2024 NCAA men’s college tournament
Below are key dates for March Madness 2024.
- First Four: Tuesday, March 19 and Wednesday, March 20, 2024
- First round: Thursday, March 21 and Friday, March 22
- Second round: Saturday, March 23 and Sunday, March 24
- Sweet 16: Wednesday, March 28 and Thursday, March 29
- Elite Eight: Saturday, March 30 and Sunday, March 31
- Final Four: Saturday, April 6 (TBS)
- National championship: Monday, April 8 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona (TBS)
Key dates for the 2024 NCAA women’s college basketball tournament
- First Four: Wednesday, March 20 and Thursday, March 21, 2024
- First round: Friday, March 22 and Saturday, March 23
- Second round: Sunday, March 24 and Monday, March 25
- Sweet 16: Thursday, March 29 and Friday, March 30
- Elite Eight: Sunday, March 31 and Monday, April 1
- Final Four: Friday, April 5 (ESPN+)
- National championship: Sunday, April 7 at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland, Ohio (ABC)
On Tuesday, a new Malcolm Gladwell book comes out. And if history is any guide, it will be a bestseller. “They’re stories about ideas,” he said. “They have characters. They have plots. I’m usually trying to say something about the world.”
His first book, “The Tipping Point,” published in 2000, established the Gladwell recipe: he explores a theme through anecdotes and little-known scientific studies. “‘Tipping Point’ was about the epidemic as an incredibly useful way of understanding how ideas move through society,” Gladwell said. “And epidemics have rules. Let’s learn the rules, right?”
His seven New York Times bestsellers have sold 23 million copies in North America alone. His fee for corporate speeches is $350,000. His fans have downloaded a quarter-billion episodes of his podcast, “Revisionist History,” and he founded a company called Pushkin Industries to produce it.
CBS News
In other words, Gladwell has come a long way from the small Canadian town where he grew up, son of a British father and a Jamaican mother, whom he describes as “subversive,” someone who would write notes to excuse her son from class with a blank space. “I would just fill out the date,” said the man who skipped a lot of school.
He attended the University of Toronto, but his best education was the ten years he worked for the Washington Post. “I knew nothing about newspapers,” he said. “I was so raw. I was 23, I think, or 24. Bob Woodward was two rows away from me. I learned at the feet of the greatest journalists of my generation.”
In 1996, Gladwell joined The New Yorker. He wrote about why, in the 1990s, New York’s crime rate plummeted in an article called, “The Tipping Point.” A book followed. It introduced a recurring Gladwellian theme: hidden patterns in the way the world works.
He’s a world-class contrarian, about college (“You should never go to the best institution you get into, never; go to your second or your third choice. Go to the place where you’re guaranteed to be in the top part of your class”); about working from home (“It’s not in your best interest to work at home. … If you’re just sitting in your pajamas in your bedroom, is that the work life you want to live, right? Don’t you want to feel part of something?”); about football (“I think the sport is a moral abomination”).
Gladwell says he enjoys being provocative: “Of course!” he said. “I like poking the bear. I mean, journalists should poke the bear.”
CBS News
Gladwell’s fans love his storytelling, and the A-ha! moments they bring. His critics, on the other hand, have described his writing as “generalizations that are banal, obtuse, or flat wrong,” and “simple, vacuous truths [dressed] up with flowery language.” “I’m with the idea that not everyone’s gonna like my work,” Gladwell said. “100% of people don’t like anything.”
In a 2021 “Sunday Morning” interview, Gladwell said, “I would rather be interesting than correct.” He called that “an overly provocative way of saying things! No, I think what I meant was, if I turn out not to be right, I’m not devastated. I accept that as the price of doing business.”
Gladwell often turns his mistakes into new chapters or podcast episodes. In “The Tipping Point,” he explained that New York’s crime drop was the result of “broken windows policing.” As he described it, “Little crimes were tipping points for big crimes.” But that philosophy led to New York’s policy of “stop and frisk.”
“Doing 700,000 police stops a year of young Black and Hispanic men is deeply problematic,” Gladwell said. “We were wrong. I was part of that. I’m sorry.”
Which brings us to the new book, “Revenge of the Tipping Point.” “The original ‘Tipping Point’ is a very optimistic, rosy book about the possibilities for using the laws of epidemics to promote positive social change,” he said. “In the last 25 years, I spent a lot of time thinking about the other side of that problem, which is, what happens when people use the laws of epidemics in ways that are malicious or damaging or self-interested?”
Little, Brown & Co.
The book’s stories range from topics as obscure as cheetah reproduction, to stories as big as the Holocaust. He writes that almost nobody talked about the Holocaust, or even called it that, until NBC aired a miniseries called “Holocaust” in 1978. “And what changed happened like [snaps fingers]. I mean, it was just there was a tipping point in our understanding of the Holocaust,” he said.
This book arrives at a tipping point in Gladwell’s own life. In a span of five years, he got engaged, had two children, turned 61, and moved from Manhattan to pastoral Hudson, New York. “It’s a lot to handle. There isn’t a single person who ever lived whose parents did not say, ‘This is a lot!'” he laughed. “I have become the person that, you know, I once despised, and nothing makes me happier.”
He also despises Ivy League colleges, accusing them of prioritizing their own reputations over focusing on their students.
Has parenthood affected his outlook on any of the things that he’s written about before? “Well, it’s prepared me for the possibility that I will be a massive hypocrite!” Gladwell laughed. “So, you know, it’s one thing to write about what you should do with your kids when you don’t have them.”
For all his success, Malcolm Gladwell maintains that nothing has changed in his approach, his work ethic, or his contrarianism. “It hasn’t changed what I do,” he said. “I don’t farm out my research; I still go on reporting trips. It hasn’t gotten old. In fact, my great regret is I don’t have time to do more.”
READ AN EXCERPT: “Revenge of the Tipping Point” by Malcolm Gladwell
For more info:
Story produced by Wonbo Woo. Editor: Remington Korper.
Watch CBS News
Be the first to know
Get browser notifications for breaking news, live events, and exclusive reporting.
Dublin’s Grafton Street was mobbed last month when word spread that Coldplay was coming to shoot the video for their new single, “We Pray.”
“I was a little nervous for you there in the beginning,” said Mason.
“Yeah, but you have to just trust in the goodness of people – and the proficiency of the police!” laughed Chris Martin.
Martin was joined by collaborators Burna Boy, Tini, Elyanna and Little Simz. “The five of us actually had never actually played the song in the same place before,” said Martin. “So, our first time doing it was on the street in the middle of all those people.”
Coldplay was in Dublin for four sold-out nights at Croke Park, on their “Music of the Spheres” world tour. With more than 10 million tickets sold, and box office of over $1 billion, Billboard has crowned it “the biggest rock tour of all time.”
Mason asked drummer Will Champion, “You guys are in the middle of literally a record-breaking tour. Does it feel like that to you?”
“Sometimes it’s hard to see the woods for the trees,” Champion replied. “We’re aware that we’re having such a great time. We’re really enjoying ourselves.”
“It definitely was extremely loud last night,” said bassist Guy Berryman.
Champion, Berryman, Martin and guitarist Jonny Buckland haven’t always felt the love, especially in the early years. But critics, who once asked “Why does everyone hate Coldplay?” are now calling them “the 21st century’s defining band.”
“It seems like you’ve kind of been fully embraced even by the music critics,” said Mason.
“Well, you’re very sweet. I mean, that’s just not true!” laughed Martin.
“I don’t think you’re ever fully embraced,” said Buckland.
“Also, we are really not a rock band,” said Martin. “So, when we’re judged by those parameters, we’re always gonna come up short. One thing I’d say that we’ve become more comfortable with is just being ourselves.”
Their catalog of hits stretches across a quarter of a century. Martin said, “The truth of it is, some songs arrive fully formed, basically – not Jonny’s parts or Will’s or Guy’s parts, but my part. And those are the rarest, but they’re always the best, the ones that I had least to do with.”
“But sometimes they’re the hardest to produce, because you don’t want to ruin them!” laughed Buckland.
Martin says he can feel that right away: “Definitely, yeah. The songs of ours that have connected with the most people, they connected with me first. I was like, ‘Oh, this is really good!’ ‘Yellow,’ ‘Viva La Vida,’ ‘Fix You,’ ‘Sky Full of Stars.’ They just land.”
“Viva La Vida” by Coldplay:
“So, in a strange way, you’re listening to it, you’re the first person to listen to it; that’s what it feels like,” said Martin. “With the song ‘We Pray,’ we were in Taiwan on tour about ten months ago. I think it was after a show and I woke up in the middle of the night, this song was just in my head called ‘We Pray.’ And it said, ‘You have to get outta bed and do this now.'”
Coldplay performed “We Pray” with their collaborators on stage for the first time in Dublin. “To have heard a song in the middle of the night in Taiwan and then ten months later it’s on stage in Dublin? I mean, that’s in itself an amazing journey,” Martin said.
Martin started writing songs at a young age: “The first one arrived when I was about 11,” he said.
Martin is always writing, even while on the road. Every morning, he sits down to write freeform – whatever he’s thinking about. “I do that as a way of staying sane!” he laughed. “For 12 minutes in the mornings, I write anything that’s in my head, and it’s often very terrible and very depressed or very anxious, or all of the stuff that you don’t really want anyone else to hear, but you need to release. So, I do that for 12 minutes, and then I burn it.”
“You literally light it on fire?” asked Mason.
“Yeah, or tear it up and flush it away. And it just kind of gets rid of so much nonsense,” Martin said. “Definitely helps in a band, too. Because in the old days we would have a lot more tension and a lot more volatility. But that’s calmed down a lot.”
Buckland was asked about the incredible sense of community at their concerts. “I think this is the point where we are most happy,” he said. “I think we got to that point by being in a band for 25 years and then finally it sort of all clicking into place.”
“Is that just a process of time?” asked Mason.
“Well, I think a process of time and hard work,” said Martin. “We’ve worked quite hard on how we communicate with each other and giving each other space. We tour a lot slower now. We only do about 65 shows a year, which isn’t that many.”
Coldplay’s new record, “Moon Music,” is the band’s tenth studio album.
Martin has said the band would release its last album in 2025. “It was right and it was wrong, like most things I say,” Martin explained. “We are only going to do 12 proper Coldplay albums, but we’re a little bit behind. Not too far behind!”
Buckland explained, “We’re asking for an extension!”
So, why 12 albums? “That’s just what it’s supposed to be,” Martin replied. “I don’t think anyone needs more than that from us. The Beatles did 12.”
Mason asked, “Do you guys have other things you want to do? Is that part of this?”
“Not at all. We’d like to keep playing live,” said Martin.
“So, that goes on?”
“Oh, yeah, yeah – that gets better and better,” Martin said.
“Don’t wanna stop Coldplay,” said Buckland.
You can’t stop Coldplay. Chris Martin says he has to keep sprinting across stadiums.
Why does he have to? “I think it’s like asking an apple tree why does it make apples?” Martin replied. “That’s ’cause that’s what I was made to do. And also, I’m really happy doing it.”
Coldplay performs “feelslikeimfallinginlove” at Glastonbury 2024:
For more info:
Story produced by Jon Carras. Editor: Mike Levine.
See also:
