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Here’s what a Sam Altman-backed basic income experiment found
A recent study on basic income, backed by OpenAI founder Sam Altman, shows that giving low-income people guaranteed paydays with no strings attached can lead to their working slightly less, affording them more leisure time.
The study, which is one of the largest and most comprehensive of its kind, examined the impact of guaranteed income on recipients’ health, spending, employment, ability to relocate and other facets of their lives.
Altman first announced his desire to fund the study in a 2016 blog post on startup accelerator Y Combinator’s site.
Some of the questions he set out to answer about how people behave when they’re given free cash included, “Do people sit around and play video games, or do they create new things? Are people happy and fulfilled?” according to the post. Altman, whose OpenAI is behind generative text tool ChatGPT, which threatens to take away some jobs, said in the blog post that he thinks technology’s elimination of “traditional jobs” could make universal basic income necessary in the future.
How much cash did participants get?
For OpenResearch’s Unconditional Cash Study, 3,000 participants in Illinois and Texas received $1,000 monthly for three years beginning in 2020. The cash transfers represented a 40% boost in recipients’ incomes. The cash recipients were at least 300% below the federal poverty line, with average incomes of less than $29,000. A control group of 2,000 participants received $50 a month for their contributions.
Basic income recipients spent more money, the study found, with their extra dollars going toward essentials like rent, transportation and food.
Researchers also studied the free money’s effect on how much recipients worked, and in what types of jobs. They found that recipients of the cash transfers worked 1.3 to 1.4 hours less each week compared with the control group. Instead of working during those hours, recipients used them for leisure time.
“We observed moderate decreases in labor supply,” Eva Vivalt, assistant professor of economics at the University of Toronto and one of the study’s principal investigators, told CBS MoneyWatch. “From an economist’s point of view, it’s a moderate effect.”
More autonomy, better health
Vivalt doesn’t view the dip in hours spent working as a negative outcome of the experiment, either. On the contrary, according to Vivalt. “People are doing more stuff, and if the results say people value having more leisure time — that this is what increases their well-being — that’s positive.”
In other words, the cash transfers gave recipients more autonomy over how they spent their time, according to Vivalt.
“It gives people the choice to make their own decisions about what they want to do. In that sense, it necessarily improves their well-being,” she said.
Researchers expected that participants would ultimately earn higher wages by taking on better-paid work, but that scenario didn’t pan out. “They thought that if you can search longer for work because you have more of a cushion, you can afford to wait for better jobs, or maybe you quit bad jobs,” Vivalt said. “But we don’t find any effects on the quality of employment whatsoever.”
Uptick in hospitalizations
At a time when even Americans with insurance say they have trouble staying healthy because they struggle to afford care, the study results show that basic-income recipients actually increased their spending on health care services.
Cash transfer recipients experienced a 26% increase in the number of hospitalizations in the last year, compared with the average control recipient. The average recipient also experienced a 10% increase in the probability of having visited an emergency department in the last year.
Researchers say they will continue to study outcomes of the experiment, as other cities across the U.S. conduct their own tests of the concept.
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Paul Whelan, freed in prisoner swap with Russia, tells other American detainees: “We’re coming for you”
Washington — Nearly seven weeks after the Russians handed over Paul Whelan on a tarmac in Ankara, Turkey, the Marine veteran stood on the steps of the U.S. Capitol with a message for other Americans who are held abroad.
“We’re coming for you,” he told reporters Tuesday night after he met with lawmakers. “It might take time, but we’re coming.”
Whelan said he spoke with lawmakers about how the government can better support detainees after they’re released.
“We spoke about how the next person’s experience could be better,” he said. “What the government could do for the next person that’s held hostage and comes home — the care and support that other people might need, especially people that are in a worse situation. There are people coming back that lived in the dirt without shoes for three years, people that were locked up in hideous conditions for 20 years. They need support.”
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The U.S. secured Whelan’s release in August in one of the largest prisoner swaps since the end of the Cold War. The complex deal came after months of sensitive negotiations between the U.S., Russia, Germany, Slovenia, Poland and Norway.
As part of the deal, Russia released 16 prisoners while the Western countries released eight Russians. Whelan was released alongside Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich, Russian-American radio journalist Alsu Kurmasheva and Vladimir Kara-Murza, a U.S. green card holder and Kremlin critic.
Whelan, who had been the longest-held American detainee in Russia, was arrested in December 2018 when he traveled to the country to attend a friend’s wedding. He was convicted of espionage in a secret trial and sentenced to 16 years in prison in 2020.
Whelan, his family and the U.S. government vehemently denied that he was a spy and accused Russia of using him as a political pawn. The U.S. government considered him to be wrongfully detained, a rare designation that put more government resources toward securing his release.
But a deal to secure his freedom was long elusive. He remained behind bars as Russia freed Marine veteran Trevor Reed and women’s basketball star Brittney Griner — both of whom were detained after Whelan’s arrest — in prisoner swaps with the U.S.
The U.S. said it pushed for his inclusion in both exchanges, but Russia refused. It led to Whelan advocating for his own release from a remote prison camp, calling government officials and journalists to make sure that he wasn’t forgotten.
When the plane carrying Whelan, Gershkovish and Kurmasheva landed in Maryland on Aug. 1, Whelan was the first to disembark. He was greeted by President Biden, who gave Whelan his American flag pin, and Vice President Kamala Harris.
“Whether he likes it or not, he changed the world,” Rep. Haley Stevens, a Michigan Democrat, told reporters Tuesday.
Whelan’s case and his family’s constant pressure on the U.S. government brought more attention to the cases of Americans who are wrongfully detained by foreign governments.
Haley said Whelan is a reminder to other Americans considering traveling to Russia that “you have a target on your back.”
Whelan said it’s been an adjustment acclimating to life back in the U.S., especially learning the latest technology like his iPhone 15.
“I was in a really remote part of Russia,” he said. “We really didn’t have much. The conditions were poor. The Russians said the poor conditions were part of the punishment. And coming back to see this sort of thing now is a bit of a shock, but it’s a good shock.”