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3 ways mortgage interest rates could drop this August
Homebuyers who didn’t take advantage of record-low mortgage interest rates in 2020 and 2021 have had to cope with exponentially higher rates ever since. Thanks to inflation and a concentrated effort by the Federal Reserve to tame it, the federal funds rate soared last year to its highest level in decades. And mortgage rates soon followed, hitting their highest point since 2000.
As inflation has steadily cooled since, however, mortgage rates have fallen slightly. And they’re already down by almost a full percentage point from where they were in November 2023, for example. But there’s reason to believe they could start falling consistently shortly, possibly as soon as this August.
Understanding this possibility, and being prepared for it, is critical for homebuyers engaged in today’s unique rate climate, as waiting for an ideal circumstance could lead to getting stuck with a worse rate. To that end, below we’ve gathered three potential ways mortgage interest rates could drop in the upcoming month.
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3 ways mortgage interest rates could drop in August
Here are three potential scenarios – either combined or individually – that could result in lower mortgage interest rates this August.
The Fed could discuss a cut at their July meeting
While the likelihood of a reduction to the federal funds rate at the conclusion of the Fed’s next meeting on July 31 is low (under 5% according to the CME FedWatch tool), that doesn’t mean that rates still won’t fall on August 1. Depending on what the Fed announces after their meeting and what Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell says about the future of interest rates, lenders could adjust their offers to borrowers downward in anticipation of rate cuts to come. While this adjustment will be marginal to start, it could still lead to major savings when viewed through the prism of a 30-year mortgage loan. So borrowers should be prepared to lock in a rate around this time.
Start shopping for the best rates and lenders online today.
Inflation could fall again
The next inflation report is scheduled to be released on August 14 by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, detailing the inflation rate for July. And if that report is anything like the last three have been – all of which showed a drop in inflation – rates on borrowing products could start to fall as a result. It’s important to remember that mortgage rates change daily, accounting for a wide range of economic factors. So if the report on August 14 is an encouraging one, don’t be surprised to see rates decline on August 15.
Lenders can start preparing for a formal rate cut
While a formal reduction to the federal funds rate will ensure that mortgage rates drop, it doesn’t necessarily have to occur for lenders to begin offering lower rates. Rates have already dropped nearly a full percentage point since last year, as noted above, while the federal funds rate remained frozen.
But if encouraging economic signs multiply in tandem with one another, lenders can and likely will start preparing for a formal rate cut in September by lowering rates in August. And with the CME FedWatch projecting a drop in the federal funds rate to a range between 5% and 5.25% then, rates on mortgage loans could easily drop in the month prior.
The bottom line
The long wait for mortgage rates to fall could soon be coming to an end in August. And while a formal rate cut appears more likely for September, developments in August could cause rates to start declining in anticipation. For now, borrowers should start shopping for lenders, improve their credit and understand all of their mortgage rate options (from adjustable-rate mortgages to mortgage points and more) so that they’re fully prepared to act when a low-rate opportunity finally presents itself again.
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Sen. Tammy Duckworth says Pete Hegseth is “flat-out wrong” about women in combat roles
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Sen. Duckworth says Trump defense secretary pick is “flat-out wrong” about women in combat roles
Democratic Sen. Tammy Duckworth said Sunday that Pete Hegseth, President-elect Donald Trump’s pick for defense secretary is “flat-out wrong” in his view that women should not serve in the military in combat roles.
“Our military could not go to war without the women who wear this uniform,” Duckworth said on “Face the Nation with Margaret Brennan.” “And frankly, America’s daughters are just as capable of defending liberty and freedom as her sons.”
Trump tapped Hegseth, a former Fox News host and Army veteran who served in Iraq and Afghanistan as his pick to head the Defense Department earlier this month. The 44-year-old has drawn criticism for his stance on women in combat roles, along with his level of experience.
Duckworth, who in 2004 deployed to Iraq as a Blackhawk helicopter pilot and sustained severe injuries when her helicopter was hit by an RPG, outlined that women who serve in combat roles have met the same standards as men, passing rigorous testing. She said Hegseth’s position “just shows his lack of understanding of where our military is,” while arguing that he’s “inordinately unqualified for the position.”
“Our military could not go to war without the 220,000-plus women who serve in uniform,” Duckworth said. She added that having women in the military “does make us more effective, does make us more lethal.”
Hegseth has also drawn scrutiny amid recently unearthed details about an investigation into an alleged sexual assault in 2017. Hegseth denies the allegation and characterized the incident as a consensual encounter. The Monterey County district attorney’s office declined to file charges as none were “supported by proof beyond a reasonable doubt.” His lawyer has acknowledged that Hegseth paid a confidential financial settlement to the woman out of concern that the allegation would jeopardize his employment.
Duckworth, an Illinois Democrat who serves on the Armed Services and Foreign Relations Committees, said it’s “really troubling” that Trump would nominate someone who “has admitted that he’s paid off a victim who has claimed rape allegations against him.”
“This is not the kind of person you want to lead the Department of Defense,” she added.
The comments come after Trump announced a slew of picks for top posts in his administration in recent days. Meanwhile, one pick — former Rep. Matt Gaetz for attorney general — has already withdrawn his name from consideration after he faced intense scrutiny amid a House Ethics Committee investigation and a tenuous path to Senate confirmation.
While Duckworth acknowledged that she’s glad her Senate Republicans “held the line” on Gaetz and also elected Sen. John Thune as leader over a candidate favored by many in Trump’s orbit, she said she’s “deeply concerned” her Republican colleagues will green light Trump’s nominees.
“From what I’m hearing from my Republican colleagues on everything from defense secretary to other posts, it sounds like they are ready to roll over for Mr. Trump,” Duckworth said.
But Duckworth didn’t rule out supporting some of the nominees herself during the Senate confirmation process, pledged to evaluate each candidate based on their ability to do the job, and their willingness to put the needs of the American people before “a retribution campaign for Mr. Trump.”
Meanwhile, a CBS News poll released on Sunday found that 33% of Americans say Hegseth is a “good choice” for defense secretary, including 64% of Trump voters. But 39% of Americans said they hadn’t heard enough yet about the pick. More broadly, Americans generally say they want Trump to appoint people who’ll speak their minds and who have experience in the field or agency they’ll run.
Sen. Rand Paul, a Kentucky Republican who also appeared on “Face the Nation” on Sunday, said he believes that Hegseth can run the massive Defense Department, despite his lack of experience managing a large organization. Though he did not address Hegseth’s comments about women in combat roles, Paul said he believes the “vast majority of people” support leaders who are picked based on merit, citing Hegseth’s criticism of the Pentagon for what he says has been a move away from merit-based hiring and toward hiring based on “racial characteristics.”
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Israeli strike kills Lebanese soldier as Hezbollah fires at least 185 rockets at Israel
Hezbollah fired at least 185 rockets and other projectiles into Israel on Sunday, wounding seven people in the militant group’s heaviest barrage in several days, in response to deadly Israeli strikes in Beirut while negotiators pressed on with cease-fire efforts to halt the war.
Meanwhile, an Israeli strike on a Lebanese army center killed one soldier and wounded 18 others on the southwestern coastal road between Tyre and Naqoura, Lebanon’s military said. Israel’s military expressed regret and said the strike occurred in an area of combat against Hezbollah, adding that its operations are directed solely against the militants. The strike was under review.
Israeli strikes have killed over 40 Lebanese troops since the start of the war between Israel and Hezbollah, even as Lebanon’s military has largely kept to the sidelines.
Lebanon’s caretaker prime minister, Najib Mikati, condemned it as an assault on U.S.-led cease-fire efforts, calling it a “direct, bloody message rejecting all efforts and ongoing contacts” to end the war.
“(Israel is) again writing in Lebanese blood a brazen rejection of the solution that is being discussed,” a statement from his office read.
The strike occurred in southwestern Lebanon on the coastal road between Tyre and Naqoura, where there has been heavy fighting between Israel and Hezbollah.
Hezbollah began firing rockets, missiles and drones into Israel after Hamas’ Oct. 7, 2023, attack out of the Gaza Strip ignited the war there. Hezbollah has portrayed the attacks as an act of solidarity with the Palestinians and Hamas. Iran supports both armed groups.
Israel has launched retaliatory airstrikes since the rocket fire began, and in September the low-level conflict erupted into all-out war, as Israel launched waves of airstrikes across large parts of Lebanon and killed Hezbollah’s top leader, Hassan Nasrallah, and several of his top commanders.
Hezbollah fired a total of around 160 rockets and other projectiles into Israel on Sunday, some of which were intercepted, the Israeli military said.
Israel’s Magen David Adom rescue service said it was treating two people in the central city of Petah Tikva, a 23-year-old man who was lightly wounded by a blast and a 70-year-old woman suffering from smoke inhalation from a car that caught fire. The first responders said they treated three other people in northern Israel, closer to the border, including a 60-year-old man in serious condition.
It was unclear whether the injuries and damage were caused by the rockets or interceptors.
Israeli airstrikes early Saturday pounded central Beirut, killing at least 20 people and wounding 66, according to Lebanon’s Health Ministry.
Israeli attacks have killed more than 3,500 people in Lebanon, according to Lebanon’s Health Ministry. The fighting has displaced about 1.2 million people, or a quarter of Lebanon’s population.
On the Israeli side, about 90 soldiers and nearly 50 civilians have been killed by bombardments in northern Israel and in battle following Israel’s ground invasion in early October. Around 60,000 Israelis have been displaced from the country’s north.
The Biden administration has spent months trying to broker a cease-fire, and U.S. envoy Amos Hochstein was back in the region last week.
The European Union’s top diplomat called for more pressure on both Israel and Hezbollah to reach a deal, saying one was “pending with a final agreement from the Israeli government.”
Josep Borrell spoke Sunday after meeting with Mikati and Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri, a Hezbollah ally who has been mediating with the group.
Borrell said the EU is ready to allocate 200 million euros ($208m) to assist the Lebanese military, which would deploy additional forces to the south.
The emerging agreement would pave the way for the withdrawal of Hezbollah militants and Israeli troops from southern Lebanon below the Litani River in accordance with the U.N. Security Council resolution that ended the 2006 war. Lebanese troops would patrol the area, with the presence of U.N. peacekeepers.
Lebanon’s army reflects the religious diversity of the country and is respected as a national institution, but it does not have the military capability to impose its will on Hezbollah or resist Israel’s invasion.