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Anti-fraud efforts meet real-world test during ACA enrollment period

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Unauthorized switching of Affordable Care Act plans appears to have tapered off in recent weeks based on an almost one-third drop in casework associated with consumer complaints, say federal regulators. The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, which oversees the ACA, credits steps taken to thwart enrollment and switching problems that triggered more than 274,000 complaints this year through August.

Now, the annual ACA open enrollment period that began Nov. 1 poses a real-world test: Will the changes curb fraud by rogue agents or brokerages without unduly slowing the process of enrolling or reducing the total number of sign-ups for 2025 coverage?

“They really have this tightrope to walk,” said Sabrina Corlette, co-director of the Center on Health Insurance Reforms at Georgetown University. “The more you tighten it up to prevent fraud, the more barriers there are that could inhibit enrollment among those who need the coverage.”

CMS said in July that some types of policy changes — those in which the agent is not “affiliated” with the existing plan — will face more requirements, such as a three-way call with the consumer, broker, and a healthcare.gov call center representative. 

In August, the agency barred two of about a dozen private sector online-enrollment platforms from connecting with healthcare.gov over concerns related to improper switching.

And CMS has suspended 850 agents suspected of being involved in unauthorized plan-switching from accessing the ACA marketplace.

Still, the clampdown could add complexity to enrollment and slow the process. For example, a consumer might have to wait in a queue for a three-way call, or scramble to find a new agent because the one they previously worked with had been suspended.

Given that phone lines with healthcare.gov staff already get busy — especially during mid-December — agents and policy analysts advise consumers not to dally this year. 

“Hit the ground running,” said Ronnell Nolan, president and CEO of Health Agents for America, a professional organization for brokers.

Meanwhile, reports are emerging that some rogue entities are already figuring out workarounds that could undermine some of the anti-fraud protections CMS put in place, Nolan said.

“Bottom line is: Fraud and abuse is still happening,” Nolan said.

Brokers assist the majority of people actively enrolling in ACA plans and are paid a monthly commission by insurers for their efforts. Consumers can compare plans or enroll themselves online through federal or state marketplace websites. They can also seek help from people called assisters or navigators — certified helpers who are not paid commissions. Under a “find local help” button on the federal and state ACA websites, consumers can search for nearby brokers or navigators. 

CMS says it has “ramped up support operations” at its healthcare.gov marketplace call centers, which are open 24/7, in anticipation of increased demand for three-way calls, and it expects “minimal wait times,” said Jeff Wu, deputy director for policy of the CMS Center for Consumer Information and Insurance Oversight.

Wu said those three-way calls are necessary only when an agent or a broker not already associated with a consumer’s enrollment wants to change that consumer’s enrollment or end that consumer’s coverage. It does not apply to people seeking coverage for the first time. 

Organizations paid by the government to offer navigator services have a dedicated phone line to the federal marketplace, and callers are not currently experiencing long waits, said Xonjenese Jacobs, director of Florida Covering Kids & Families, a program based at the University of South Florida that coordinates enrollment across the state through its Covering Florida navigator program.

Navigators can assist with the three-way calls if a consumer’s situation requires it. 

“Because we have our quick line in, there’s no increased wait time,” Jacobs said. 

The problem of unauthorized switches has been around for a while but took off during last year’s open enrollment season.

Brokers generally blamed much of the problem on the ease with which rogue agents can access ACA information in the federal marketplace, needing only a person’s name, date of birth, and state of residence. Though federal regulators have worked to tighten that access with the three-way call requirement, they stopped short of instituting what some agent groups say is needed: two-factor authentication, which could involve a code accessed by a consumer through a smartphone.

Unauthorized switches can lead to a host of problems for consumers, from higher deductibles to landing in new networks that do not include their preferred physicians or hospitals. Some people have received tax bills when unauthorized policies came with premium credits for which they did not qualify.

Unauthorized switches posed a political liability for the Biden administration, a blemish on two years of record ACA enrollment. The practice drew criticism from lawmakers on both sides of the aisle; Democrats demanded more oversight and punishment of rogue agents, while Republicans said fraud attempts were fueled by Biden administration moves that allowed for more generous premium subsidies and special enrollment periods. The fate of those enhanced subsidies, which are set to expire, will be decided by Congress next year as the Trump administration takes power. But the premiums and subsidies that come with 2025 plans that people are enrolling in now will remain in effect for the entire year.

The actions taken this year to thwart the unauthorized enrollments apply to the federal marketplace, used by 31 states. The remaining states and the District of Columbia run their own websites, with many having in place additional layers of security.

For its part, CMS says its efforts are working, pointing to the 30% drop in complaint casework. The agency also noted a 90% drop in the number of times an agent’s name was replaced by another’s, which it says indicates that it is tougher for rival agents to steal clients to gain the monthly commissions that insurers pay.

Still, the move to suspend 850 agents has drawn pushback from agent groups that initially brought the problem to federal regulators’ attention. They say some of those accused were suspended before getting a chance to respond to the allegations. 

“There will be a certain number of agents and brokers who are going to be suspended without due process,” said Nolan, with the health agents’ group. She said that it has called for increased protections against unauthorized switching and that two-factor authentication, like that used in some state marketplaces or in the financial sector, would be more effective than what’s been done.

“We now have to jump through so many hoops that I’m not sure we’re going to survive,” she said of agents in general. “They are just throwing things against the wall to see what sticks when they could just do two-factor.”

The agency did not respond to questions asking for details about how the 850 agents suspended since July were selected, the states where they were located, or how many had their suspensions reversed after supplying additional information.

KFF Health News is a national newsroom that produces in-depth journalism about health issues and is one of the core operating programs at KFF — the independent source for health policy research, polling and journalism.



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What will mortgage interest rates be in 2025? Experts weigh in

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Mortgage rates could look a lot different next year, experts say.

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Mortgage rates have had a bumpy ride this year. They started 2024 in the mid-6% range, jumped to over 7%, fell steeply in September, and now, they’re nearly right back where we started — only slightly higher.

The volatility has posed quite a challenge for homebuyers, especially those on tight budgets looking to minimize their monthly mortgage costs. Will the mortgage rate rollercoaster continue as we get into the new year, though? Here’s what experts say.

Compare today’s best mortgage rates to find the right loan for you.

What will mortgage interest rates be in 2025? 

Mortgage rates are “incredibly difficult to predict,” says Charles Goodwin, vice president of sales at mortgage lender Kiavi. They hinge on many factors — economic, political and more — and all those are constantly in flux.

“Mortgage rates generally will move as expectations change related to data from the job market, inflation, GDP growth and more,” Goodwin says. “If the U.S. economy and job market remain strong, expect mortgage rates to move very slowly.”

The Federal Reserve plays a role, too, says Debra Shultz, vice president of lending at CrossCountry Mortgage.

“Over the last few years, the Fed policy has been all about tightening to control and lower inflation,” Shultz says (hence higher mortgage rates). “They’re happy with their efforts and have shifted to a policy of easing, which will lower interest rates over time.”

Finally, a new presidential administration — and the policies it enforces — will also factor into where rates head next year. 

“Mortgage rates will also change depending on the policies of the Trump regime,” Goodwin explains. “Policies are expected to expand the deficit, which would lead to mortgage rates being higher for longer, as more treasuries would need to be issued to cover the deficit.”

Find out the top mortgage rates you could qualify for here.

Mortgage rates should drop in 2025

Most experts predict that mortgage rates will fall steadily in 2025, and forecasts from both the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) and Fannie Mae back that up. 

“I expect mortgage rates to be on a slow grind downward in 2025, barring unexpected softness in the economy,” Goodwin says. 

Will the reduction be huge? Not likely, pros say. The MBA projects that rates will start the year around 6.2% and fall to 5.9% by year’s end. Fannie Mae forecasts a dip from 5.9% to 5.6%. 

“We should see rates in the mid 5% range in 2025,” Shultz says. “Post COVID, 5.5% may sound high, but historically, it’s a low and economically healthy interest rate.”

That mid-5% rate would come immediately, though, and it may take some ups and downs to get there, according to Mike Hardy, managing partner of Churchill Mortgage’s Pacific Southwest region.

“I expect that we will see mortgage rates undulate slightly down throughout 2025,” Hardy says. “Think of a kid on a down escalator with a yo-yo as a visual to understand the path of mortgage rates.”

The bottom line

While the news generally looks good for mortgage rates, pros say sitting on the sidelines for lower rates probably isn’t a smart idea unless you really have to. 

“A buyer can certainly wait until next year to buy a home and will likely have a lower rate, but they run the risk of paying a higher price and having significantly more competition,” Hardy says. “It seems that everyone is waiting to enter the market with lower rates, and there’s a significant amount of pent-up demand. This phenomenon would cause home prices to be higher next year than they are today.”

Overall, Hardy says home prices are projected to jump 4% to 5% next year. 

“That means a year from today, a home worth $600,000 will be $625,000 to $630,000,” he says. “If someone can afford a home today and they find a home that speaks to them, I’d advise buying today and then planning to refinance the mortgage in the next year or two with more favorable terms.”



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Eye Opener: Storms batter both U.S. coasts

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Eye Opener: Storms batter both U.S. coasts – CBS News


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As the Northeast is hit with a major winter blast, the Pacific Northwest braces for another powerful storm. Meanwhile, Trump announces a new pick for attorney general. All that and all that matters in today’s Eye Opener.

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Will Pam Bondi face major pushback in confirmation process for attorney general role?

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Will Pam Bondi face major pushback in confirmation process for attorney general role? – CBS News


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Former Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi has replaced Matt Gaetz as President-elect Donald Trump’s choice for attorney general of the United States. CBS News senior White House and political correspondent Ed O’Keefe has more on Bondi’s confirmation process and Pete Hegseth’s ongoing effort to be confirmed as defense secretary.

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